**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Beijing on August 23, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and local forecasts showing an overnight minimum around 25°C (77°F), driven by a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that suppresses radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept recent minima elevated above the 1991–2020 August average of ~21°C. Realistic challenges include greater-than-expected clear-sky periods overnight or a sharper steering pattern shift, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of dropping to 24°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日北京最低气温？
8月23日北京最低气温？
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,520 交易量
$3,520 交易量
2026-08-23
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,520 交易量
$3,520 交易量
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$184 交易量
1%
20°C
$689 交易量
<1%
21°C
$277 交易量
1%
22°C
$327 交易量
2%
23°C
$340 交易量
3%
24°C
$264 交易量
2%
25°C
$369 交易量
93%
26°C
$222 交易量
<1%
27°C
$401 交易量
<1%
28°C
$301 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Beijing on August 23, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and local forecasts showing an overnight minimum around 25°C (77°F), driven by a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that suppresses radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept recent minima elevated above the 1991–2020 August average of ~21°C. Realistic challenges include greater-than-expected clear-sky periods overnight or a sharper steering pattern shift, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of dropping to 24°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,520结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Beijing on August 23, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and local forecasts showing an overnight minimum around 25°C (77°F), driven by a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that suppresses radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept recent minima elevated above the 1991–2020 August average of ~21°C. Realistic challenges include greater-than-expected clear-sky periods overnight or a sharper steering pattern shift, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of dropping to 24°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,520结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Beijing on August 23, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** This positioning reflects model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and local forecasts showing an overnight minimum around 25°C (77°F), driven by a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 24–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that suppresses radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept recent minima elevated above the 1991–2020 August average of ~21°C. Realistic challenges include greater-than-expected clear-sky periods overnight or a sharper steering pattern shift, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of dropping to 24°C or below before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题