**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across forecast models and recent observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional weather services, currently project a daily minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with high humidity (typically 70–85%) and light northeast winds. In Wuhan's subtropical Yangtze River basin climate during peak summer, elevated moisture levels reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows anchored near this range consistent with late-August climatology (average lows often 26–28°C). This positioning rests on the latest model consensus and real-time surface observations rather than long-term averages alone. The overwhelming 95.5% implied probability indicates limited uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though modest shifts could occur if heavier precipitation enhances cooling or if clear-sky breaks allow temperatures to dip toward 25°C. Resolution hinges on official verified minimum readings, with new model updates or local station data likely to provide the final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日武汉最低气温?
27°C 95%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 交易量
$3,236 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 95%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 交易量
$3,236 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 23, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across forecast models and recent observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional weather services, currently project a daily minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with high humidity (typically 70–85%) and light northeast winds. In Wuhan's subtropical Yangtze River basin climate during peak summer, elevated moisture levels reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows anchored near this range consistent with late-August climatology (average lows often 26–28°C). This positioning rests on the latest model consensus and real-time surface observations rather than long-term averages alone. The overwhelming 95.5% implied probability indicates limited uncertainty in the near-term forecast, though modest shifts could occur if heavier precipitation enhances cooling or if clear-sky breaks allow temperatures to dip toward 25°C. Resolution hinges on official verified minimum readings, with new model updates or local station data likely to provide the final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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