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icon for 爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者

爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者

icon for 爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者

爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 布伦娜·伯德(共和党)

布伦娜·伯德(共和党)

$21 交易量

56%

icon for Nate Willems(民主党)

Nate Willems(民主党)

$0 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General race, reflecting her 2022 narrow victory and advantages in cash on hand after national party support. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a rematch against Democrat Nate Willems, a former state representative focused on expanding state enforcement in areas such as wage theft. Recent developments include Bird’s distribution of opioid settlement grants and establishment of a Medicaid fraud task force, alongside ongoing multistate efforts on robocalls, while Willems has emphasized state-level consumer protections. Fundraising reports through mid-July showed Bird with roughly double the cash reserves, and earlier polling indicated a tight contest. These factors sustain competitive implied probabilities ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Brenna Bird holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the November 2026 Iowa Attorney General race, reflecting her 2022 narrow victory and advantages in cash on hand after national party support. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a rematch against Democrat Nate Willems, a former state representative focused on expanding state enforcement in areas such as wage theft. Recent developments include Bird’s distribution of opioid settlement grants and establishment of a Medicaid fraud task force, alongside ongoing multistate efforts on robocalls, while Willems has emphasized state-level consumer protections. Fundraising reports through mid-July showed Bird with roughly double the cash reserves, and earlier polling indicated a tight contest. These factors sustain competitive implied probabilities ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

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常见问题

"爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"布伦娜·伯德(共和党)",概率为 56%,其次是"Nate Willems(民主党)",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 4, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"布伦娜·伯德(共和党)",概率为 56%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"Nate Willems(民主党)",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"爱荷华州总检察长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。