Short-term weather models and recent observations position mid-30s °C as the most likely range for Wuhan's August 6 maximum, with 36 °C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate delivers strong August solar heating, and current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs fluctuating around 34–36 °C amid typical humidity levels near 70%. Broader 2026 summer outlooks from China's National Climate Center note above-average temperatures across southern regions, supporting the clustered probabilities for 35–37 °C outcomes. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or steering patterns could tip the exact peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why lower (34 °C) and higher (38 °C) options retain secondary market weight ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日武汉气温最高？
8月6日武汉气温最高？
36°C 43%
37°C 19%
35°C 14%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
6%
35°C
14%
36°C
43%
37°C
19%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C或更高
1%
36°C 43%
37°C 19%
35°C 14%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
$126 交易量
<1%
31°C
$105 交易量
<1%
32°C
$95 交易量
1%
33°C
$99 交易量
4%
34°C
$93 交易量
6%
35°C
$120 交易量
14%
36°C
$1,633 交易量
43%
37°C
$170 交易量
19%
38°C
$149 交易量
6%
39°C
$71 交易量
2%
40°C或更高
$92 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term weather models and recent observations position mid-30s °C as the most likely range for Wuhan's August 6 maximum, with 36 °C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate delivers strong August solar heating, and current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs fluctuating around 34–36 °C amid typical humidity levels near 70%. Broader 2026 summer outlooks from China's National Climate Center note above-average temperatures across southern regions, supporting the clustered probabilities for 35–37 °C outcomes. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or steering patterns could tip the exact peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why lower (34 °C) and higher (38 °C) options retain secondary market weight ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,753结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term weather models and recent observations position mid-30s °C as the most likely range for Wuhan's August 6 maximum, with 36 °C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate delivers strong August solar heating, and current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs fluctuating around 34–36 °C amid typical humidity levels near 70%. Broader 2026 summer outlooks from China's National Climate Center note above-average temperatures across southern regions, supporting the clustered probabilities for 35–37 °C outcomes. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or steering patterns could tip the exact peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why lower (34 °C) and higher (38 °C) options retain secondary market weight ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,753结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-term weather models and recent observations position mid-30s °C as the most likely range for Wuhan's August 6 maximum, with 36 °C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate delivers strong August solar heating, and current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs fluctuating around 34–36 °C amid typical humidity levels near 70%. Broader 2026 summer outlooks from China's National Climate Center note above-average temperatures across southern regions, supporting the clustered probabilities for 35–37 °C outcomes. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or steering patterns could tip the exact peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why lower (34 °C) and higher (38 °C) options retain secondary market weight ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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