Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 19 under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 11°C at 63.5% implied probability. Typical winter baseline temperatures in the region hover near 11–13°C, and current model runs show limited variability from a stable high-pressure setup following earlier polar air intrusions. NIWA seasonal guidance notes near-average or slightly below-average conditions for the period, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than extremes. Updated guidance ahead of the 19th could refine wind and cloud cover details that influence daytime highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
11°C 64%
10°C 24%
12°C 12%
9°C 2%
最新
$10,165 交易量
最新
$10,165 交易量
2026-08-19
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
24%
11°C
64%
12°C
12%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 64%
10°C 24%
12°C 12%
9°C 2%
最新
$10,165 交易量
最新
$10,165 交易量
2026-08-19
5°C or below
$201 交易量
<1%
6°C
$186 交易量
<1%
7°C
$296 交易量
<1%
8°C
$167 交易量
<1%
9°C
$831 交易量
2%
10°C
$2,458 交易量
24%
11°C
$2,584 交易量
64%
12°C
$2,040 交易量
12%
13°C
$872 交易量
2%
14°C
$167 交易量
<1%
15°C or higher
$362 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 19 under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 11°C at 63.5% implied probability. Typical winter baseline temperatures in the region hover near 11–13°C, and current model runs show limited variability from a stable high-pressure setup following earlier polar air intrusions. NIWA seasonal guidance notes near-average or slightly below-average conditions for the period, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than extremes. Updated guidance ahead of the 19th could refine wind and cloud cover details that influence daytime highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,165结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 19 under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 11°C at 63.5% implied probability. Typical winter baseline temperatures in the region hover near 11–13°C, and current model runs show limited variability from a stable high-pressure setup following earlier polar air intrusions. NIWA seasonal guidance notes near-average or slightly below-average conditions for the period, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than extremes. Updated guidance ahead of the 19th could refine wind and cloud cover details that influence daytime highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,165结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 19 under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 11°C at 63.5% implied probability. Typical winter baseline temperatures in the region hover near 11–13°C, and current model runs show limited variability from a stable high-pressure setup following earlier polar air intrusions. NIWA seasonal guidance notes near-average or slightly below-average conditions for the period, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than extremes. Updated guidance ahead of the 19th could refine wind and cloud cover details that influence daytime highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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