Latest ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating while coastal sea breezes provide moderation. This aligns with early-August climatology, where daily highs average near 31°C and rarely exceed 33°C absent anomalous warming. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this tight distribution, with 32°C leading at 55.5% and 31°C at 32.5%, as updated model runs show minimal deviation expected overnight. Final verification will depend on official maximum readings, with any last-minute shift in steering patterns or humidity the main variable that could tip outcomes toward 33°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日特拉维夫最高气温?
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating while coastal sea breezes provide moderation. This aligns with early-August climatology, where daily highs average near 31°C and rarely exceed 33°C absent anomalous warming. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this tight distribution, with 32°C leading at 55.5% and 31°C at 32.5%, as updated model runs show minimal deviation expected overnight. Final verification will depend on official maximum readings, with any last-minute shift in steering patterns or humidity the main variable that could tip outcomes toward 33°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题