Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 16 point to a daily high near 30–31°C amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered light rain, and moderating cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and current model consensus from sources tracking regional patterns, placing the highest probability on those exact thresholds rather than extremes. Short-range updates show no significant heatwave or cold front intrusion, keeping trader focus on slight day-to-day variability from precipitation and wind. Final resolution will depend on official station measurements, with any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture potentially adjusting the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海气温最高?
30°C 44%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 16 point to a daily high near 30–31°C amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered light rain, and moderating cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and current model consensus from sources tracking regional patterns, placing the highest probability on those exact thresholds rather than extremes. Short-range updates show no significant heatwave or cold front intrusion, keeping trader focus on slight day-to-day variability from precipitation and wind. Final resolution will depend on official station measurements, with any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture potentially adjusting the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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