INMET forecasts and regional model consensus indicate a São Paulo daily maximum near 26–27°C on August 4 amid stable southeast Brazilian conditions and above-average monthly temperatures. This reflects reduced cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, contrasting with the 23–24°C climatological August average. Subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation explain the tight market spread between 26°C and 27°C, while any increase in instability or rain timing could cap the peak closer to 25°C. Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological network will resolve the outcome by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月4日圣保罗的最高温度？
26°C 40%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
最新
$11,027 交易量
最新
$11,027 交易量
2026-08-04
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
最新
$11,027 交易量
最新
$11,027 交易量
2026-08-04
22°C or below
$864 交易量
<1%
23°C
$567 交易量
1%
24°C
$816 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,362 交易量
19%
26°C
$3,598 交易量
40%
27°C
$1,347 交易量
34%
28°C
$988 交易量
9%
29°C
$496 交易量
1%
30°C
$300 交易量
<1%
31°C
$322 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.INMET forecasts and regional model consensus indicate a São Paulo daily maximum near 26–27°C on August 4 amid stable southeast Brazilian conditions and above-average monthly temperatures. This reflects reduced cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, contrasting with the 23–24°C climatological August average. Subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation explain the tight market spread between 26°C and 27°C, while any increase in instability or rain timing could cap the peak closer to 25°C. Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological network will resolve the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$11,027结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.INMET forecasts and regional model consensus indicate a São Paulo daily maximum near 26–27°C on August 4 amid stable southeast Brazilian conditions and above-average monthly temperatures. This reflects reduced cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, contrasting with the 23–24°C climatological August average. Subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation explain the tight market spread between 26°C and 27°C, while any increase in instability or rain timing could cap the peak closer to 25°C. Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological network will resolve the outcome by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,027结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETINMET forecasts and regional model consensus indicate a São Paulo daily maximum near 26–27°C on August 4 amid stable southeast Brazilian conditions and above-average monthly temperatures. This reflects reduced cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, contrasting with the 23–24°C climatological August average. Subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation explain the tight market spread between 26°C and 27°C, while any increase in instability or rain timing could cap the peak closer to 25°C. Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological network will resolve the outcome by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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