Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日青岛气温最高？
8月23日青岛气温最高？
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
24℃或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
$27,468 交易量
$27,468 交易量
2026-08-23
24℃或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
24℃或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
$27,468 交易量
$27,468 交易量
2026-08-23
24℃或以下
$259 交易量
<1%
25°C
$328 交易量
<1%
26°C
$215 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,170 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,877 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,635 交易量
<1%
30°C
$7,028 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5,389 交易量
100%
32°C
$3,204 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,917 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$1,447 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$27,468结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,468结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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