Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日青岛气温最高?
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C或更高 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
47%
33°C
31%
34°C或更高
5%
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C或更高 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
47%
33°C
31%
34°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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