Traders see 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on August 7 because climatological baselines for early August place daily maxima near 31–32°C under typical wet-season conditions, with short-term model guidance indicating modest warming from reduced cloud cover and a northward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures already approaching 32°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for slight upward or downward revision if overnight model runs alter the convective outlook. NOAA and regional forecast ensembles carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this far ahead, so new data releases tomorrow morning will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 46%
34°C 34%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
46%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 34%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
46%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on August 7 because climatological baselines for early August place daily maxima near 31–32°C under typical wet-season conditions, with short-term model guidance indicating modest warming from reduced cloud cover and a northward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures already approaching 32°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for slight upward or downward revision if overnight model runs alter the convective outlook. NOAA and regional forecast ensembles carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this far ahead, so new data releases tomorrow morning will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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