Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles on August 5 point to a moderate high driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which limits daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. This setup favors readings in the mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed closely by 74-75°F. Climatologically, early August averages near 83-85°F at official stations, but current sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients are suppressing extremes, reducing odds for 78°F or higher to just 10.5%. Updated model runs and evening marine stratus forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月5日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
67°F或更低
$268 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$22 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$592 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$589 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$1,071 交易量
37%
76-77°F
$1,290 交易量
47%
78-79°F
$1,259 交易量
13%
80-81°F
$206 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$217 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$1,340 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles on August 5 point to a moderate high driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which limits daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. This setup favors readings in the mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed closely by 74-75°F. Climatologically, early August averages near 83-85°F at official stations, but current sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients are suppressing extremes, reducing odds for 78°F or higher to just 10.5%. Updated model runs and evening marine stratus forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$7,115结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles on August 5 point to a moderate high driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which limits daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. This setup favors readings in the mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed closely by 74-75°F. Climatologically, early August averages near 83-85°F at official stations, but current sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients are suppressing extremes, reducing odds for 78°F or higher to just 10.5%. Updated model runs and evening marine stratus forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,115结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles on August 5 point to a moderate high driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which limits daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. This setup favors readings in the mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed closely by 74-75°F. Climatologically, early August averages near 83-85°F at official stations, but current sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients are suppressing extremes, reducing odds for 78°F or higher to just 10.5%. Updated model runs and evening marine stratus forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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