Traders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月4日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
97°F或以下 1.6%
最新
$13,969 交易量
最新
$13,969 交易量
2026-08-04
97°F或以下
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
97°F或以下 1.6%
最新
$13,969 交易量
最新
$13,969 交易量
2026-08-04
97°F或以下
$1,947 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$1,768 交易量
14%
100-101°F
$4,623 交易量
60%
102-103°F
$1,345 交易量
26%
104-105°F
$1,650 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$958 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$385 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$389 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$519 交易量
<1%
114-115°F
$367 交易量
<1%
116°F或更高
$389 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$13,969结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,969结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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