Persistent high pressure and clear skies across North Texas are sustaining a late-summer heat wave, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for afternoon highs of 104–106 °F in Dallas on August 18 under low humidity and light winds that favor strong surface heating. Recent model consensus from NOAA supports minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence, keeping temperatures firmly in the upper end of the historical August distribution while remaining well below all-time records near 113 °F. Traders have priced 104–105 °F as the modal outcome at 51 % implied probability, with 106–107 °F at 30 %, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around these bins and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts on the final day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月18日达拉斯的最高温度？
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
最新
$13,726 交易量
最新
$13,726 交易量
2026-08-18
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
最新
$13,726 交易量
最新
$13,726 交易量
2026-08-18
97°F or below
$250 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$258 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$1,324 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$4,827 交易量
13%
104-105°F
$3,000 交易量
52%
106-107°F
$1,754 交易量
30%
108-109°F
$1,233 交易量
4%
110-111°F
$362 交易量
2%
112-113°F
$227 交易量
<1%
114-115°F
$281 交易量
<1%
116°F or higher
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies across North Texas are sustaining a late-summer heat wave, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for afternoon highs of 104–106 °F in Dallas on August 18 under low humidity and light winds that favor strong surface heating. Recent model consensus from NOAA supports minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence, keeping temperatures firmly in the upper end of the historical August distribution while remaining well below all-time records near 113 °F. Traders have priced 104–105 °F as the modal outcome at 51 % implied probability, with 106–107 °F at 30 %, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around these bins and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts on the final day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,726结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies across North Texas are sustaining a late-summer heat wave, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for afternoon highs of 104–106 °F in Dallas on August 18 under low humidity and light winds that favor strong surface heating. Recent model consensus from NOAA supports minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence, keeping temperatures firmly in the upper end of the historical August distribution while remaining well below all-time records near 113 °F. Traders have priced 104–105 °F as the modal outcome at 51 % implied probability, with 106–107 °F at 30 %, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around these bins and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts on the final day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,726结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure and clear skies across North Texas are sustaining a late-summer heat wave, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for afternoon highs of 104–106 °F in Dallas on August 18 under low humidity and light winds that favor strong surface heating. Recent model consensus from NOAA supports minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence, keeping temperatures firmly in the upper end of the historical August distribution while remaining well below all-time records near 113 °F. Traders have priced 104–105 °F as the modal outcome at 51 % implied probability, with 106–107 °F at 30 %, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around these bins and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts on the final day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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