Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a high near 101–102°F for Dallas on August 15, aligning with the market’s strong 49% weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Mid-August climatology in North Texas features peak seasonal heating under southerly flow, with typical highs near 100°F and heat indices elevated by humidity, though isolated cloud cover or brief showers could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the combined 92% probability on 98–103°F outcomes, while the low odds on extremes above 104°F reflect the low likelihood of a strong ridge amplifying temperatures beyond historical analogs for the date. Updated NHC and local guidance through the 15th will refine these probabilities ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月15日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
93°F or below
$93 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$656 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$280 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$323 交易量
28%
100-101°F
$3,801 交易量
49%
102-103°F
$212 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$195 交易量
5%
106-107°F
$25 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$98 交易量
1%
110-111°F
$21 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$185 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a high near 101–102°F for Dallas on August 15, aligning with the market’s strong 49% weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Mid-August climatology in North Texas features peak seasonal heating under southerly flow, with typical highs near 100°F and heat indices elevated by humidity, though isolated cloud cover or brief showers could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the combined 92% probability on 98–103°F outcomes, while the low odds on extremes above 104°F reflect the low likelihood of a strong ridge amplifying temperatures beyond historical analogs for the date. Updated NHC and local guidance through the 15th will refine these probabilities ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$4,667结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a high near 101–102°F for Dallas on August 15, aligning with the market’s strong 49% weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Mid-August climatology in North Texas features peak seasonal heating under southerly flow, with typical highs near 100°F and heat indices elevated by humidity, though isolated cloud cover or brief showers could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the combined 92% probability on 98–103°F outcomes, while the low odds on extremes above 104°F reflect the low likelihood of a strong ridge amplifying temperatures beyond historical analogs for the date. Updated NHC and local guidance through the 15th will refine these probabilities ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,667结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a high near 101–102°F for Dallas on August 15, aligning with the market’s strong 49% weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Mid-August climatology in North Texas features peak seasonal heating under southerly flow, with typical highs near 100°F and heat indices elevated by humidity, though isolated cloud cover or brief showers could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the combined 92% probability on 98–103°F outcomes, while the low odds on extremes above 104°F reflect the low likelihood of a strong ridge amplifying temperatures beyond historical analogs for the date. Updated NHC and local guidance through the 15th will refine these probabilities ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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