A cold front approaching the southwestern Cape has positioned 18–19°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum, with those bins capturing over 65% of trader consensus. Post-frontal clearing and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime warming after showers and stronger winds on the 6th, aligning with seasonal August averages near 17°C while ruling out extremes. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and ensemble models shows little spread around an 18°C peak, though minor shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could still nudge the result toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and climatological context heavily given the market’s imminent resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日开普敦气温最高？
8月7日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 43%
18°C 25%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
43%
20°C
20%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 43%
18°C 25%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
$65 交易量
2%
15°C
$75 交易量
2%
16°C
$289 交易量
3%
17°C
$238 交易量
8%
18°C
$331 交易量
25%
19°C
$366 交易量
43%
20°C
$263 交易量
20%
21°C
$212 交易量
3%
22°C
$136 交易量
1%
23°C
$185 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching the southwestern Cape has positioned 18–19°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum, with those bins capturing over 65% of trader consensus. Post-frontal clearing and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime warming after showers and stronger winds on the 6th, aligning with seasonal August averages near 17°C while ruling out extremes. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and ensemble models shows little spread around an 18°C peak, though minor shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could still nudge the result toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and climatological context heavily given the market’s imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching the southwestern Cape has positioned 18–19°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum, with those bins capturing over 65% of trader consensus. Post-frontal clearing and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime warming after showers and stronger winds on the 6th, aligning with seasonal August averages near 17°C while ruling out extremes. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and ensemble models shows little spread around an 18°C peak, though minor shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could still nudge the result toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and climatological context heavily given the market’s imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETA cold front approaching the southwestern Cape has positioned 18–19°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum, with those bins capturing over 65% of trader consensus. Post-frontal clearing and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime warming after showers and stronger winds on the 6th, aligning with seasonal August averages near 17°C while ruling out extremes. Official guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and ensemble models shows little spread around an 18°C peak, though minor shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover could still nudge the result toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and climatological context heavily given the market’s imminent resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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