**Trader consensus heavily favors a peak temperature of 35°C for Busan on August 24, 2026, reflecting aggregated model guidance and current atmospheric patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system is delivering mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong solar heating across the region, with dew points supporting elevated heat indices near 35–37°C. Official short-term outlooks from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) project daytime maxima of 31–34°C, though recent runs show potential for localized warming above 34°C amid minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Historical August baselines in Busan average 31–32°C highs, making the current setup slightly above normal but without extreme heat-wave amplification. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station; any last-minute model shift toward increased onshore flow or afternoon convection could favor the 34°C outcome instead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日釜山气温最高?
35°C 53%
36°C 24%
34°C 18%
37°C 4%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
18%
35°C
53%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C或更高
1%
35°C 53%
36°C 24%
34°C 18%
37°C 4%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
18%
35°C
53%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a peak temperature of 35°C for Busan on August 24, 2026, reflecting aggregated model guidance and current atmospheric patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system is delivering mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong solar heating across the region, with dew points supporting elevated heat indices near 35–37°C. Official short-term outlooks from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) project daytime maxima of 31–34°C, though recent runs show potential for localized warming above 34°C amid minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Historical August baselines in Busan average 31–32°C highs, making the current setup slightly above normal but without extreme heat-wave amplification. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station; any last-minute model shift toward increased onshore flow or afternoon convection could favor the 34°C outcome instead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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