Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
最新
$17,562 交易量
最新
$17,562 交易量
2026-08-06
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
最新
$17,562 交易量
最新
$17,562 交易量
2026-08-06
8°C or below
$256 交易量
<1%
9°C
$256 交易量
<1%
10°C
$361 交易量
<1%
11°C
$410 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,293 交易量
<1%
13°C
$6,133 交易量
<1%
14°C
$5,157 交易量
56%
15°C
$2,178 交易量
38%
16°C
$901 交易量
6%
17°C
$344 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$17,562结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,562结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETOfficial forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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