National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F或以下 <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,759 交易量
$31,759 交易量
2026-08-17
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101华氏度
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F或更高
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F或以下 <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,759 交易量
$31,759 交易量
2026-08-17
93°F或以下
$191 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$443 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$1,889 交易量
<1%
100-101华氏度
$11,751 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$5,886 交易量
100%
104-105°F
$4,029 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$3,090 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$2,033 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$370 交易量
<1%
112°F或更高
$646 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$31,759结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,759结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNational Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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