Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of 27–28°C in Ankara on August 15 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-August rather than peak summer extremes. Ankara's climatological August average high near 29–31°C provides context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings to 29°C or above. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the observation window could refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月15日安卡拉的最高温度？
27°C 56%
26°C 34%
28°C 7%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
34%
27°C
56%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
26°C 34%
28°C 7%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
23°C or below
$420 交易量
<1%
24°C
$409 交易量
1%
25°C
$337 交易量
4%
26°C
$1,147 交易量
34%
27°C
$2,440 交易量
56%
28°C
$716 交易量
7%
29°C
$647 交易量
1%
30°C
$402 交易量
<1%
31°C
$731 交易量
<1%
32°C
$277 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$313 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of 27–28°C in Ankara on August 15 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-August rather than peak summer extremes. Ankara's climatological August average high near 29–31°C provides context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings to 29°C or above. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the observation window could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,839结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of 27–28°C in Ankara on August 15 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-August rather than peak summer extremes. Ankara's climatological August average high near 29–31°C provides context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings to 29°C or above. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the observation window could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,839结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of 27–28°C in Ankara on August 15 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-August rather than peak summer extremes. Ankara's climatological August average high near 29–31°C provides context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings to 29°C or above. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the observation window could refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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