Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, scheduled for December 6, 2026, follows a military coup in November 2025 that halted prior voting and installed a transitional government under a one-year roadmap toward restored constitutional order. Trader sentiment reflects this instability, with Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holding the clearest but modest lead amid a highly fragmented field where no major party exceeds 31 percent. Recent developments include an August 2026 constitutional referendum expanding executive powers, passage of a gender-parity law for candidate lists, and efforts to form an inclusive interim cabinet. Key differentiators among contenders involve varying ties to the transitional authorities, positions on institutional reform, and capacity to build coalitions in a system historically prone to shifts through alliances or court rulings on eligibility. Support could consolidate around any platform demonstrating broad regional backing or securing endorsements ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
PS 5.6%
FREPASNA 4.9%
FLING 4.5%
PT 3.1%
$156,958 交易量
$156,958 交易量
2025-11-22
PS
6%
FREPASNA
5%
FLING
5%
PT
3%
MUNDO-GB
2%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
PS 5.6%
FREPASNA 4.9%
FLING 4.5%
PT 3.1%
$156,958 交易量
$156,958 交易量
2025-11-22
PS
$24,951 交易量
6%
FREPASNA
$26,655 交易量
5%
FLING
$12,886 交易量
5%
PT
$21,794 交易量
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,820 交易量
2%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$47,851 交易量
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, scheduled for December 6, 2026, follows a military coup in November 2025 that halted prior voting and installed a transitional government under a one-year roadmap toward restored constitutional order. Trader sentiment reflects this instability, with Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holding the clearest but modest lead amid a highly fragmented field where no major party exceeds 31 percent. Recent developments include an August 2026 constitutional referendum expanding executive powers, passage of a gender-parity law for candidate lists, and efforts to form an inclusive interim cabinet. Key differentiators among contenders involve varying ties to the transitional authorities, positions on institutional reform, and capacity to build coalitions in a system historically prone to shifts through alliances or court rulings on eligibility. Support could consolidate around any platform demonstrating broad regional backing or securing endorsements ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
交易量
$156,958结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, scheduled for December 6, 2026, follows a military coup in November 2025 that halted prior voting and installed a transitional government under a one-year roadmap toward restored constitutional order. Trader sentiment reflects this instability, with Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holding the clearest but modest lead amid a highly fragmented field where no major party exceeds 31 percent. Recent developments include an August 2026 constitutional referendum expanding executive powers, passage of a gender-parity law for candidate lists, and efforts to form an inclusive interim cabinet. Key differentiators among contenders involve varying ties to the transitional authorities, positions on institutional reform, and capacity to build coalitions in a system historically prone to shifts through alliances or court rulings on eligibility. Support could consolidate around any platform demonstrating broad regional backing or securing endorsements ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$156,958结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, scheduled for December 6, 2026, follows a military coup in November 2025 that halted prior voting and installed a transitional government under a one-year roadmap toward restored constitutional order. Trader sentiment reflects this instability, with Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holding the clearest but modest lead amid a highly fragmented field where no major party exceeds 31 percent. Recent developments include an August 2026 constitutional referendum expanding executive powers, passage of a gender-parity law for candidate lists, and efforts to form an inclusive interim cabinet. Key differentiators among contenders involve varying ties to the transitional authorities, positions on institutional reform, and capacity to build coalitions in a system historically prone to shifts through alliances or court rulings on eligibility. Support could consolidate around any platform demonstrating broad regional backing or securing endorsements ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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