Xi Jinping’s firm grip on the Chinese Communist Party drives the 95.5% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He has eliminated presidential term limits, stacked the Politburo and Central Military Commission with loyalists, and conducted repeated purges of senior military and party figures through 2026, reducing visible factional opposition. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027 center on extending his leadership into a fourth term rather than selecting a successor, with no public signals of retirement or health-related transition. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event, an unforeseen elite revolt triggered by severe economic or foreign-policy setbacks, or an abrupt internal announcement, though current evidence shows few structural forces capable of forcing an earlier exit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$12,087,570 交易量
$12,087,570 交易量
是
$12,087,570 交易量
$12,087,570 交易量
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Xi Jinping’s firm grip on the Chinese Communist Party drives the 95.5% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He has eliminated presidential term limits, stacked the Politburo and Central Military Commission with loyalists, and conducted repeated purges of senior military and party figures through 2026, reducing visible factional opposition. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027 center on extending his leadership into a fourth term rather than selecting a successor, with no public signals of retirement or health-related transition. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event, an unforeseen elite revolt triggered by severe economic or foreign-policy setbacks, or an abrupt internal announcement, though current evidence shows few structural forces capable of forcing an earlier exit.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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