Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,970 交易量
2026-12-31
Steve Witkoff
73%
贾里德·库什纳
65%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
63%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
63%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
55%
J.D. 万斯
44%
尼克·斯图尔特
25%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
24%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
20%
拉斐尔·格罗西
23%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
43%
马可·鲁比奥
22%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
16%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
15%
唐纳德·特朗普
12%
彼特·赫格塞思
6%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
5%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
7%
伊沙克·达尔
41%
$30,970 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$696 交易量
73%
贾里德·库什纳
$635 交易量
65%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
$425 交易量
63%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
$80 交易量
63%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 交易量
55%
J.D. 万斯
$873 交易量
44%
尼克·斯图尔特
$106 交易量
25%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
$998 交易量
24%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
$885 交易量
20%
拉斐尔·格罗西
$509 交易量
23%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$549 交易量
43%
马可·鲁比奥
$311 交易量
22%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
$964 交易量
16%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
$25 交易量
15%
唐纳德·特朗普
$59 交易量
12%
彼特·赫格塞思
$2,478 交易量
6%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$19,111 交易量
5%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
$1,245 交易量
7%
伊沙克·达尔
$1,002 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$30,970结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$30,970结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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