Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with primaries set for August 18. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and was rated Solid Republican following 2025 redistricting that preserved a Trump-era margin of roughly 18 points despite shifts in Miami-Dade and Broward areas. Díaz-Balart, the longest-serving current Florida member, benefits from strong name recognition, seniority on appropriations, and unopposed primary status, while Locklin’s campaign has drawn limited early visibility or fundraising momentum. These structural advantages underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 84.5 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$51,714 交易量
$51,714 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
15%
$51,714 交易量
$51,714 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$20,222 交易量
85%
民主党
$31,492 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with primaries set for August 18. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and was rated Solid Republican following 2025 redistricting that preserved a Trump-era margin of roughly 18 points despite shifts in Miami-Dade and Broward areas. Díaz-Balart, the longest-serving current Florida member, benefits from strong name recognition, seniority on appropriations, and unopposed primary status, while Locklin’s campaign has drawn limited early visibility or fundraising momentum. These structural advantages underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 84.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$51,714结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with primaries set for August 18. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and was rated Solid Republican following 2025 redistricting that preserved a Trump-era margin of roughly 18 points despite shifts in Miami-Dade and Broward areas. Díaz-Balart, the longest-serving current Florida member, benefits from strong name recognition, seniority on appropriations, and unopposed primary status, while Locklin’s campaign has drawn limited early visibility or fundraising momentum. These structural advantages underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 84.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$51,714结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with primaries set for August 18. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and was rated Solid Republican following 2025 redistricting that preserved a Trump-era margin of roughly 18 points despite shifts in Miami-Dade and Broward areas. Díaz-Balart, the longest-serving current Florida member, benefits from strong name recognition, seniority on appropriations, and unopposed primary status, while Locklin’s campaign has drawn limited early visibility or fundraising momentum. These structural advantages underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 84.5 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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