Recent polls in the Georgia gubernatorial race between Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican nominee Rick Jackson show narrow margins, with Bottoms often at 46-52% and Jackson at 44-47% alongside modest undecided shares. Georgia requires a majority for an outright November 3 general election victory to avoid a runoff between the top two finishers. Limited third-party activity, high expected turnout in this open-seat contest following Brian Kemp’s term limit, and the concentration of support between the two major-party candidates have produced trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of one nominee clearing 50%. Recent July surveys from State Navigate and Fox News-sponsored polling, along with consistent patterns in prior Georgia statewide contests, reinforce expectations that vote consolidation will push the leader over the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
86% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
86% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Recent polls in the Georgia gubernatorial race between Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican nominee Rick Jackson show narrow margins, with Bottoms often at 46-52% and Jackson at 44-47% alongside modest undecided shares. Georgia requires a majority for an outright November 3 general election victory to avoid a runoff between the top two finishers. Limited third-party activity, high expected turnout in this open-seat contest following Brian Kemp’s term limit, and the concentration of support between the two major-party candidates have produced trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of one nominee clearing 50%. Recent July surveys from State Navigate and Fox News-sponsored polling, along with consistent patterns in prior Georgia statewide contests, reinforce expectations that vote consolidation will push the leader over the threshold.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Recent polls in the Georgia gubernatorial race between Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican nominee Rick Jackson show narrow margins, with Bottoms often at 46-52% and Jackson at 44-47% alongside modest undecided shares. Georgia requires a majority for an outright November 3 general election victory to avoid a runoff between the top two finishers. Limited third-party activity, high expected turnout in this open-seat contest following Brian Kemp’s term limit, and the concentration of support between the two major-party candidates have produced trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of one nominee clearing 50%. Recent July surveys from State Navigate and Fox News-sponsored polling, along with consistent patterns in prior Georgia statewide contests, reinforce expectations that vote consolidation will push the leader over the threshold.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls in the Georgia gubernatorial race between Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican nominee Rick Jackson show narrow margins, with Bottoms often at 46-52% and Jackson at 44-47% alongside modest undecided shares. Georgia requires a majority for an outright November 3 general election victory to avoid a runoff between the top two finishers. Limited third-party activity, high expected turnout in this open-seat contest following Brian Kemp’s term limit, and the concentration of support between the two major-party candidates have produced trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of one nominee clearing 50%. Recent July surveys from State Navigate and Fox News-sponsored polling, along with consistent patterns in prior Georgia statewide contests, reinforce expectations that vote consolidation will push the leader over the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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