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聯邦利率 預測與賠率

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Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

100%

No change

$100M 交易量

$5M today

$9M Liq.

1

Ends 2 天內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

94%

No change

$10M 交易量

$226K today

$932K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$302K 交易量

$351K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

<1%

$489K 交易量

$131K Liq.

4

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

100%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M 交易量

$244K today

$255K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$54.3K 交易量

$49.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

68%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.8K 交易量

$73.7K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

22%

↓ 3.25%

$2M 交易量

$124K Liq.

10

Ends 7 個月內

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

37%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$145K Liq.

5

Ends 6 個月內

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

35%

$2M 交易量

$57.3K today

$78.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

23%

December Meeting

$2M 交易量

$216K Liq.

17

Ends 2 天內

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%

$106K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

71%

0 (0 bps)

$35M 交易量

$497K today

$2M Liq.

85

Ends 7 個月內

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

69%

0

$33.4K 交易量

$20.5K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

3%

$4.4K 交易量

$19.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$115K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

What price will Solana hit June 8-14?

What price will Solana hit June 8-14?

<1%

↓ 60

$47.6K 交易量

$1M Liq.

Ends 大約 1 小時前

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

100%

↑ 120

$0 交易量

$469 Liq.

Ends 7 天內

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

95%

Rate / Cut

$33.4K 交易量

$30.7K Liq.

1

Ends 3 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for 聯邦利率 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed Decision in June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $160.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 聯邦利率 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.