Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, after his chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh’s confirmation. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until the Federal Reserve’s inspector general completes its review of headquarters renovation costs, citing the need for “transparency and finality.” This stance, reinforced in late-April 2026 remarks, anchors trader expectations that departure before year-end hinges on the probe’s timeline rather than routine term expiration. Monetary-policy continuity, legal protections against removal except “for cause,” and administration signals on central-bank independence further shape implied probabilities, with any acceleration of the investigation or political pressure representing the clearest near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$436,091 交易量
12月31日
17%
$436,091 交易量
12月31日
17%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市場開放時間: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, after his chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh’s confirmation. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until the Federal Reserve’s inspector general completes its review of headquarters renovation costs, citing the need for “transparency and finality.” This stance, reinforced in late-April 2026 remarks, anchors trader expectations that departure before year-end hinges on the probe’s timeline rather than routine term expiration. Monetary-policy continuity, legal protections against removal except “for cause,” and administration signals on central-bank independence further shape implied probabilities, with any acceleration of the investigation or political pressure representing the clearest near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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