Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.8%
4+ 22%
3 22%
0 19%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 23.8%
4+ 22%
3 22%
0 19%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
$6,778 交易量
19%
1
$484 交易量
17%
2
$298 交易量
24%
3
$325 交易量
22%
4+
$344 交易量
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
交易量
$8,229結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETThe December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$8,229結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETRecent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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