Israeli leaders continue to prioritize demilitarization of Hamas and security control over large portions of Gaza through the expanding Yellow Line buffer, which now covers roughly 65 percent of the territory, while rejecting full withdrawal until disarmament advances. Ongoing diplomatic efforts under the U.S.-backed Board of Peace roadmap have stalled over sequencing of Hamas weapons handover and Israeli pullback, prompting renewed Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, and targeted ground raids after a brief lull in mid-August 2026. These actions have killed more than 100 Palestinians in recent weeks amid reports of Hamas rebuilding capabilities and ceasefire violations. IDF statements emphasize proactive degradation of threats without returning to pre-October 2023 postures, leaving room for incremental operations rather than immediate large-scale re-invasion. Scheduled negotiations and potential U.S. pressure remain key variables that could alter escalation risks within the fragile ceasefire framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$752,490 交易量
12月31日
12%
$752,490 交易量
12月31日
12%
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli leaders continue to prioritize demilitarization of Hamas and security control over large portions of Gaza through the expanding Yellow Line buffer, which now covers roughly 65 percent of the territory, while rejecting full withdrawal until disarmament advances. Ongoing diplomatic efforts under the U.S.-backed Board of Peace roadmap have stalled over sequencing of Hamas weapons handover and Israeli pullback, prompting renewed Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, and targeted ground raids after a brief lull in mid-August 2026. These actions have killed more than 100 Palestinians in recent weeks amid reports of Hamas rebuilding capabilities and ceasefire violations. IDF statements emphasize proactive degradation of threats without returning to pre-October 2023 postures, leaving room for incremental operations rather than immediate large-scale re-invasion. Scheduled negotiations and potential U.S. pressure remain key variables that could alter escalation risks within the fragile ceasefire framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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