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icon for 以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?

以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?

icon for 以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?

以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?

93% 機率
Polymarket
最新

93% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988—setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly confirmed this timeline in July, rejecting earlier proposals for an earlier vote and aligning all procedural steps, including candidate list submissions by early September and overseas voting starting October 20. No subsequent legislative actions, security developments, or coalition shifts have altered the schedule, leaving the date fixed under Israeli law. Trader pricing at 92.6% for a scheduled vote reflects this institutional certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms for last-minute changes before the October resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,455
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988—setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly confirmed this timeline in July, rejecting earlier proposals for an earlier vote and aligning all procedural steps, including candidate list submissions by early September and overseas voting starting October 20. No subsequent legislative actions, security developments, or coalition shifts have altered the schedule, leaving the date fixed under Israeli law. Trader pricing at 92.6% for a scheduled vote reflects this institutional certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms for last-minute changes before the October resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,455
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" is "以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "以色列選舉會如期舉行嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.