The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988—setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly confirmed this timeline in July, rejecting earlier proposals for an earlier vote and aligning all procedural steps, including candidate list submissions by early September and overseas voting starting October 20. No subsequent legislative actions, security developments, or coalition shifts have altered the schedule, leaving the date fixed under Israeli law. Trader pricing at 92.6% for a scheduled vote reflects this institutional certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms for last-minute changes before the October resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
是
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988—setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly confirmed this timeline in July, rejecting earlier proposals for an earlier vote and aligning all procedural steps, including candidate list submissions by early September and overseas voting starting October 20. No subsequent legislative actions, security developments, or coalition shifts have altered the schedule, leaving the date fixed under Israeli law. Trader pricing at 92.6% for a scheduled vote reflects this institutional certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms for last-minute changes before the October resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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