Israeli officials have signaled intent to maintain a security buffer in southern Lebanon north of the border, even as U.S.-brokered framework agreements reached in June 2026 called for phased IDF withdrawals from select zones both north and south of the Litani River, with Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control in pilot areas. Partial handovers occurred in July under these deals, yet statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz emphasize that forces will remain as long as Hezbollah threats persist and northern Israeli communities lack full security guarantees. These diplomatic and operational developments, alongside Hezbollah's rejection of full disarmament terms, shape trader assessments of withdrawal timelines amid fragile ceasefires.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,152,619 交易量
2026-08-30
August 31
3%
December 31
11%
$1,152,619 交易量
August 31
$97,700 交易量
3%
December 31
$320,319 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have signaled intent to maintain a security buffer in southern Lebanon north of the border, even as U.S.-brokered framework agreements reached in June 2026 called for phased IDF withdrawals from select zones both north and south of the Litani River, with Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control in pilot areas. Partial handovers occurred in July under these deals, yet statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz emphasize that forces will remain as long as Hezbollah threats persist and northern Israeli communities lack full security guarantees. These diplomatic and operational developments, alongside Hezbollah's rejection of full disarmament terms, shape trader assessments of withdrawal timelines amid fragile ceasefires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,152,619市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have signaled intent to maintain a security buffer in southern Lebanon north of the border, even as U.S.-brokered framework agreements reached in June 2026 called for phased IDF withdrawals from select zones both north and south of the Litani River, with Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control in pilot areas. Partial handovers occurred in July under these deals, yet statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz emphasize that forces will remain as long as Hezbollah threats persist and northern Israeli communities lack full security guarantees. These diplomatic and operational developments, alongside Hezbollah's rejection of full disarmament terms, shape trader assessments of withdrawal timelines amid fragile ceasefires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
交易量
$1,152,619市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled intent to maintain a security buffer in southern Lebanon north of the border, even as U.S.-brokered framework agreements reached in June 2026 called for phased IDF withdrawals from select zones both north and south of the Litani River, with Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control in pilot areas. Partial handovers occurred in July under these deals, yet statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz emphasize that forces will remain as long as Hezbollah threats persist and northern Israeli communities lack full security guarantees. These diplomatic and operational developments, alongside Hezbollah's rejection of full disarmament terms, shape trader assessments of withdrawal timelines amid fragile ceasefires.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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