Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans for a short visit to New York City in late September 2026 to address the UN General Assembly, arriving September 23 and departing after his speech the following day. Israeli officials cite this annual diplomatic engagement as essential despite an ICC arrest warrant tied to Gaza operations and opposition from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who urged enforcement of the warrant and called for protests. Federal diplomatic protections limit local authority, and historical precedent shows Netanyahu addressing the UN most years absent major security barriers. The timing overlaps Jewish holidays and Israel's election cycle, but trader consensus on related prediction markets reflects high implied probability of a visit by year-end based on these confirmed arrangements and lack of new obstacles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$416,875 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
94%
12月31日
97%
$416,875 交易量
9月30日
$161,803 交易量
94%
12月31日
$98,701 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans for a short visit to New York City in late September 2026 to address the UN General Assembly, arriving September 23 and departing after his speech the following day. Israeli officials cite this annual diplomatic engagement as essential despite an ICC arrest warrant tied to Gaza operations and opposition from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who urged enforcement of the warrant and called for protests. Federal diplomatic protections limit local authority, and historical precedent shows Netanyahu addressing the UN most years absent major security barriers. The timing overlaps Jewish holidays and Israel's election cycle, but trader consensus on related prediction markets reflects high implied probability of a visit by year-end based on these confirmed arrangements and lack of new obstacles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
交易量
$416,875結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans for a short visit to New York City in late September 2026 to address the UN General Assembly, arriving September 23 and departing after his speech the following day. Israeli officials cite this annual diplomatic engagement as essential despite an ICC arrest warrant tied to Gaza operations and opposition from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who urged enforcement of the warrant and called for protests. Federal diplomatic protections limit local authority, and historical precedent shows Netanyahu addressing the UN most years absent major security barriers. The timing overlaps Jewish holidays and Israel's election cycle, but trader consensus on related prediction markets reflects high implied probability of a visit by year-end based on these confirmed arrangements and lack of new obstacles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$416,875結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ETIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans for a short visit to New York City in late September 2026 to address the UN General Assembly, arriving September 23 and departing after his speech the following day. Israeli officials cite this annual diplomatic engagement as essential despite an ICC arrest warrant tied to Gaza operations and opposition from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who urged enforcement of the warrant and called for protests. Federal diplomatic protections limit local authority, and historical precedent shows Netanyahu addressing the UN most years absent major security barriers. The timing overlaps Jewish holidays and Israel's election cycle, but trader consensus on related prediction markets reflects high implied probability of a visit by year-end based on these confirmed arrangements and lack of new obstacles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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