Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6-7% 29%
7-8% 24%
低於5% 14%
5-6% 13%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低於5%
14%
5-6%
13%
6-7%
25%
7-8%
24%
8%+
29%
6-7% 29%
7-8% 24%
低於5% 14%
5-6% 13%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低於5%
$84 交易量
14%
5-6%
$119 交易量
13%
6-7%
$181 交易量
25%
7-8%
$52 交易量
24%
8%+
$47 交易量
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions