Israeli politics features a proportional representation system that frequently produces fragmented Knesset results, requiring extensive coalition negotiations among multiple parties. As of early August 2026, no major new election calls, coalition breakdowns, or legislative votes have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the standing situation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to one election preceding government formation, reflecting historical patterns where initial votes often fail to yield majorities and prompt follow-up rounds. Key variables include party positioning on security policy, judicial matters, and religious-secular balances, alongside any scheduled Knesset sessions or leadership announcements that could alter bargaining dynamics within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2 37%
3 20%
5+ 5.1%
0 2.6%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
0
3%
1
54%
2
37%
3
20%
4
2%
5+
5%
2 37%
3 20%
5+ 5.1%
0 2.6%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
0
$60 交易量
3%
1
$10 交易量
54%
2
$10 交易量
37%
3
$19 交易量
20%
4
$124 交易量
2%
5+
$183 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli politics features a proportional representation system that frequently produces fragmented Knesset results, requiring extensive coalition negotiations among multiple parties. As of early August 2026, no major new election calls, coalition breakdowns, or legislative votes have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the standing situation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to one election preceding government formation, reflecting historical patterns where initial votes often fail to yield majorities and prompt follow-up rounds. Key variables include party positioning on security policy, judicial matters, and religious-secular balances, alongside any scheduled Knesset sessions or leadership announcements that could alter bargaining dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$407結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli politics features a proportional representation system that frequently produces fragmented Knesset results, requiring extensive coalition negotiations among multiple parties. As of early August 2026, no major new election calls, coalition breakdowns, or legislative votes have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the standing situation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to one election preceding government formation, reflecting historical patterns where initial votes often fail to yield majorities and prompt follow-up rounds. Key variables include party positioning on security policy, judicial matters, and religious-secular balances, alongside any scheduled Knesset sessions or leadership announcements that could alter bargaining dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$407結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Israeli politics features a proportional representation system that frequently produces fragmented Knesset results, requiring extensive coalition negotiations among multiple parties. As of early August 2026, no major new election calls, coalition breakdowns, or legislative votes have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the standing situation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to one election preceding government formation, reflecting historical patterns where initial votes often fail to yield majorities and prompt follow-up rounds. Key variables include party positioning on security policy, judicial matters, and religious-secular balances, alongside any scheduled Knesset sessions or leadership announcements that could alter bargaining dynamics within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions