Recent polls show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party leading the first-round vote with 37–43 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 29–34 percent. No candidate approaches the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright on October 4, making a runoff on October 25 the expected outcome. Flávio has narrowed the gap in recent surveys amid slower economic growth and campaign attacks, while outsider Augusto Cury of Avante has climbed to 8–10 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail further behind. The first presidential debate occurred in late August, with additional televised debates scheduled through early October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$581,515 交易量
2026-10-03
路易斯·伊納西奧·魯拉·達席爾瓦
98%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅
97%
雷南·桑托斯
2%
賈伊爾·博爾索納羅
2%
羅納多·卡亞多
1%
羅梅烏·澤馬
1%
塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
1%
蜜雪兒·波索納羅
1%
費爾南多·哈達德
1%
$581,515 交易量
路易斯·伊納西奧·魯拉·達席爾瓦
$251,919 交易量
98%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅
$100,262 交易量
97%
雷南·桑托斯
$24,924 交易量
2%
賈伊爾·博爾索納羅
$16,070 交易量
2%
羅納多·卡亞多
$826 交易量
1%
羅梅烏·澤馬
$1,371 交易量
1%
塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
$84,135 交易量
1%
蜜雪兒·波索納羅
$36,264 交易量
1%
費爾南多·哈達德
$65,745 交易量
1%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party leading the first-round vote with 37–43 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 29–34 percent. No candidate approaches the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright on October 4, making a runoff on October 25 the expected outcome. Flávio has narrowed the gap in recent surveys amid slower economic growth and campaign attacks, while outsider Augusto Cury of Avante has climbed to 8–10 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail further behind. The first presidential debate occurred in late August, with additional televised debates scheduled through early October.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$581,515結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETGeneral elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party leading the first-round vote with 37–43 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 29–34 percent. No candidate approaches the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright on October 4, making a runoff on October 25 the expected outcome. Flávio has narrowed the gap in recent surveys amid slower economic growth and campaign attacks, while outsider Augusto Cury of Avante has climbed to 8–10 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail further behind. The first presidential debate occurred in late August, with additional televised debates scheduled through early October.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$581,515結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETRecent polls show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party leading the first-round vote with 37–43 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party at 29–34 percent. No candidate approaches the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright on October 4, making a runoff on October 25 the expected outcome. Flávio has narrowed the gap in recent surveys amid slower economic growth and campaign attacks, while outsider Augusto Cury of Avante has climbed to 8–10 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail further behind. The first presidential debate occurred in late August, with additional televised debates scheduled through early October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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