Incumbent Janet Gatehouse holds the leading trader consensus at 56.5% for the October 27, 2026 Sorell mayoral election, supported by her position as current mayor following the 2024 by-election. The fragmented field ahead of the September 7–21 nomination window leaves most other contenders priced near even money, with Kristian Horvath at 23% and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux at 6.5%. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and lack of published polls or major campaign activity keep probabilities tightly bunched, as local issues around planning, infrastructure, and rates have yet to produce clear differentiation. Late nominations, candidate statements, or preference flows could shift outcomes before postal ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於索雷爾市長選舉贏家
索雷爾市長選舉贏家
Janet Gatehouse 56%
Kristian Horvath 23%
Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
Janet Gatehouse
56%
Kristian Horvath
23%
Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux
7%
Janet Gatehouse 56%
Kristian Horvath 23%
Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
Janet Gatehouse
$1,891 交易量
56%
Kristian Horvath
$866 交易量
23%
Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux
$286 交易量
7%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Janet Gatehouse holds the leading trader consensus at 56.5% for the October 27, 2026 Sorell mayoral election, supported by her position as current mayor following the 2024 by-election. The fragmented field ahead of the September 7–21 nomination window leaves most other contenders priced near even money, with Kristian Horvath at 23% and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux at 6.5%. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and lack of published polls or major campaign activity keep probabilities tightly bunched, as local issues around planning, infrastructure, and rates have yet to produce clear differentiation. Late nominations, candidate statements, or preference flows could shift outcomes before postal ballots close.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
交易量
$3,042結束日期
2026-10-28市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Janet Gatehouse holds the leading trader consensus at 56.5% for the October 27, 2026 Sorell mayoral election, supported by her position as current mayor following the 2024 by-election. The fragmented field ahead of the September 7–21 nomination window leaves most other contenders priced near even money, with Kristian Horvath at 23% and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux at 6.5%. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and lack of published polls or major campaign activity keep probabilities tightly bunched, as local issues around planning, infrastructure, and rates have yet to produce clear differentiation. Late nominations, candidate statements, or preference flows could shift outcomes before postal ballots close.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$3,042結束日期
2026-10-28市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETIncumbent Janet Gatehouse holds the leading trader consensus at 56.5% for the October 27, 2026 Sorell mayoral election, supported by her position as current mayor following the 2024 by-election. The fragmented field ahead of the September 7–21 nomination window leaves most other contenders priced near even money, with Kristian Horvath at 23% and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux at 6.5%. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and lack of published polls or major campaign activity keep probabilities tightly bunched, as local issues around planning, infrastructure, and rates have yet to produce clear differentiation. Late nominations, candidate statements, or preference flows could shift outcomes before postal ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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