Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent of the general election vote in 2022. Republican Mike Ezell consolidated support by defeating his primary challenger in March 2026, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-turnout primary to face him alongside an independent in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a commanding lead because historical voting patterns, district demographics, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data point to limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require major late-cycle developments such as a national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific events capable of altering turnout among core Republican voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,630 交易量
$39,630 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
96%
民主黨
3%
$39,630 交易量
$39,630 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$24,650 交易量
96%
民主黨
$14,980 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent of the general election vote in 2022. Republican Mike Ezell consolidated support by defeating his primary challenger in March 2026, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-turnout primary to face him alongside an independent in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a commanding lead because historical voting patterns, district demographics, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data point to limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require major late-cycle developments such as a national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific events capable of altering turnout among core Republican voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$39,630結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent of the general election vote in 2022. Republican Mike Ezell consolidated support by defeating his primary challenger in March 2026, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-turnout primary to face him alongside an independent in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a commanding lead because historical voting patterns, district demographics, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data point to limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require major late-cycle developments such as a national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific events capable of altering turnout among core Republican voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,630結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent of the general election vote in 2022. Republican Mike Ezell consolidated support by defeating his primary challenger in March 2026, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-turnout primary to face him alongside an independent in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a commanding lead because historical voting patterns, district demographics, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data point to limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require major late-cycle developments such as a national political realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific events capable of altering turnout among core Republican voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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