Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consistent overnight cooling patterns under stable high pressure and light northerly winds, position minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 1 around 23–25°C as the leading outcomes. These align with climatological norms for early September along the eastern Mediterranean coast, where daytime highs near 30–33°C give way to radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture influx. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with limited model spread and no incoming weather systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated runs showing minimal deviation from baseline conditions reinforce the concentration of implied probabilities in this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 49%
22°C 25%
19°C or below
9%
20°C
6%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 49%
22°C 25%
19°C or below
9%
20°C
6%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consistent overnight cooling patterns under stable high pressure and light northerly winds, position minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 1 around 23–25°C as the leading outcomes. These align with climatological norms for early September along the eastern Mediterranean coast, where daytime highs near 30–33°C give way to radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture influx. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with limited model spread and no incoming weather systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated runs showing minimal deviation from baseline conditions reinforce the concentration of implied probabilities in this narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions