Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Taipei's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover and heavy rain expected to limit overnight radiative cooling. This pattern, driven by seasonal moisture and possible frontal influences, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–27°C as traders weigh slight variations in timing of peak rainfall and wind. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C provide context, while upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the exact low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日臺北最低氣溫?
27°C 35%
26°C 32%
25°C 26%
28°C 26%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
32%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
26°C 32%
25°C 26%
28°C 26%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
32%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Taipei's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with widespread cloud cover and heavy rain expected to limit overnight radiative cooling. This pattern, driven by seasonal moisture and possible frontal influences, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered around 25–27°C as traders weigh slight variations in timing of peak rainfall and wind. Historical September baselines near 24–26°C provide context, while upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the exact low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions