Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 1, producing a market-implied low clustered around 26–28 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling, while urban heat retention in the Taipei basin further moderates the overnight minimum. Model consensus shows only modest variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; clearer breaks could allow a dip toward 25 °C, whereas persistent cloud or rain would favor 28 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日臺北氣溫最低?
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 1, producing a market-implied low clustered around 26–28 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling, while urban heat retention in the Taipei basin further moderates the overnight minimum. Model consensus shows only modest variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; clearer breaks could allow a dip toward 25 °C, whereas persistent cloud or rain would favor 28 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions