Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance points to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, light variable winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 14 °C (42.5 %) and 15 °C (29.0 %), as current observations show mild maritime air and no incoming cold front to drive temperatures toward the historical September 20 average low of 11.1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest model runs, with limited upside or downside risk absent a major forecast shift before the overnight minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日巴黎最低溫度？
9月20日巴黎最低溫度？
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 23%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
23%
16°C
8%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
15°C 23%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
11°C
$0 交易量
3%
12°C
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$512 交易量
34%
14°C
$1,818 交易量
34%
15°C
$1,189 交易量
23%
16°C
$147 交易量
8%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$40 交易量
<1%
19°C
$40 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance points to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, light variable winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 14 °C (42.5 %) and 15 °C (29.0 %), as current observations show mild maritime air and no incoming cold front to drive temperatures toward the historical September 20 average low of 11.1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest model runs, with limited upside or downside risk absent a major forecast shift before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,977結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance points to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, light variable winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 14 °C (42.5 %) and 15 °C (29.0 %), as current observations show mild maritime air and no incoming cold front to drive temperatures toward the historical September 20 average low of 11.1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest model runs, with limited upside or downside risk absent a major forecast shift before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,977結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office guidance points to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, light variable winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 14 °C (42.5 %) and 15 °C (29.0 %), as current observations show mild maritime air and no incoming cold front to drive temperatures toward the historical September 20 average low of 11.1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest model runs, with limited upside or downside risk absent a major forecast shift before the overnight minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions