Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 6, driving the 43% implied probability on the 78-79°F bin and 29.5% on 76-77°F. A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, has kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to historical August baselines near 70°F. Latest model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns that maintain southerly flow, though any unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling or frontal passage could shift readings lower. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
$496 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$441 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$535 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$799 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$122 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$364 交易量
15%
76-77°F
$2,175 交易量
36%
78-79°F
$1,077 交易量
43%
80-81°F
$708 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$646 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$486 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 6, driving the 43% implied probability on the 78-79°F bin and 29.5% on 76-77°F. A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, has kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to historical August baselines near 70°F. Latest model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns that maintain southerly flow, though any unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling or frontal passage could shift readings lower. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$7,848結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 6, driving the 43% implied probability on the 78-79°F bin and 29.5% on 76-77°F. A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, has kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to historical August baselines near 70°F. Latest model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns that maintain southerly flow, though any unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling or frontal passage could shift readings lower. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,848結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 6, driving the 43% implied probability on the 78-79°F bin and 29.5% on 76-77°F. A warmer-than-average monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center, combined with persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, has kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to historical August baselines near 70°F. Latest model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns that maintain southerly flow, though any unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling or frontal passage could shift readings lower. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions