Current numerical weather models indicate Moscow's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and steering patterns introduce meaningful uncertainty between the near-even probabilities for 19°C-plus versus sub-10°C outcomes, while mid-range bins reflect typical model agreement around the seasonal transition. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 11–13°C, underscoring how current warmer-than-normal advection has shifted trader-implied odds. Fresh model updates and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月1日莫斯科最低溫度？
19°C or higher 87%
17°C 50%
9°C or below 40%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
40%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
87%
19°C or higher 87%
17°C 50%
9°C or below 40%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
$78 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
50%
18°C
$5 交易量
8%
19°C or higher
$135 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models indicate Moscow's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and steering patterns introduce meaningful uncertainty between the near-even probabilities for 19°C-plus versus sub-10°C outcomes, while mid-range bins reflect typical model agreement around the seasonal transition. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 11–13°C, underscoring how current warmer-than-normal advection has shifted trader-implied odds. Fresh model updates and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$218結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models indicate Moscow's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and steering patterns introduce meaningful uncertainty between the near-even probabilities for 19°C-plus versus sub-10°C outcomes, while mid-range bins reflect typical model agreement around the seasonal transition. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 11–13°C, underscoring how current warmer-than-normal advection has shifted trader-implied odds. Fresh model updates and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$218結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models indicate Moscow's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and steering patterns introduce meaningful uncertainty between the near-even probabilities for 19°C-plus versus sub-10°C outcomes, while mid-range bins reflect typical model agreement around the seasonal transition. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 11–13°C, underscoring how current warmer-than-normal advection has shifted trader-implied odds. Fresh model updates and official observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions