**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models indicate an overnight minimum of 26–27°C on September 14, driven by persistent northeast monsoon easterly winds of 3–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (60–95%), and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points near 23–24°C and variable cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, keeping the air mass warmer than typical mid-September climatology. Model consensus shows tight clustering around these values with minor spreads from local urban heat effects or brief rain episodes, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Official HKO guidance of 27–32°C daytime highs with a 27°C floor aligns with this range, while any clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could nudge the low slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日香港最低溫度？
9月14日香港最低溫度？
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$121 交易量
1%
22°C
$22 交易量
1%
23°C
$351 交易量
2%
24°C
$56 交易量
5%
25°C
$509 交易量
17%
26°C
$404 交易量
34%
27°C
$744 交易量
37%
28°C
$349 交易量
7%
29°C
$24 交易量
1%
30°C
$618 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$40 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models indicate an overnight minimum of 26–27°C on September 14, driven by persistent northeast monsoon easterly winds of 3–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (60–95%), and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points near 23–24°C and variable cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, keeping the air mass warmer than typical mid-September climatology. Model consensus shows tight clustering around these values with minor spreads from local urban heat effects or brief rain episodes, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Official HKO guidance of 27–32°C daytime highs with a 27°C floor aligns with this range, while any clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could nudge the low slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,239結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models indicate an overnight minimum of 26–27°C on September 14, driven by persistent northeast monsoon easterly winds of 3–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (60–95%), and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points near 23–24°C and variable cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, keeping the air mass warmer than typical mid-September climatology. Model consensus shows tight clustering around these values with minor spreads from local urban heat effects or brief rain episodes, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Official HKO guidance of 27–32°C daytime highs with a 27°C floor aligns with this range, while any clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could nudge the low slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,239結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models indicate an overnight minimum of 26–27°C on September 14, driven by persistent northeast monsoon easterly winds of 3–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (60–95%), and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High dew points near 23–24°C and variable cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, keeping the air mass warmer than typical mid-September climatology. Model consensus shows tight clustering around these values with minor spreads from local urban heat effects or brief rain episodes, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Official HKO guidance of 27–32°C daytime highs with a 27°C floor aligns with this range, while any clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could nudge the low slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions