**Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting model runs show a daily temperature range of 26–30°C for September 13, with the minimum shaped by an active northeast monsoon and a distant tropical cyclone enhancing cloud cover and showers.** These conditions have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures higher than typical mid-September climatology and aligning with current observations hovering near 25–26°C in the evening hours. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the day’s lowest reading because real-time station data and short-range guidance have not shown further drops below this threshold despite scattered rain. Key resolution factors include the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters site, with any late-evening cooling or localized showers the primary variables that could still shift the outcome within the narrow remaining window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日香港最低溫度?
27°C 91%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
24°C 2%
$19,778 交易量
$19,778 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
91%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 91%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
24°C 2%
$19,778 交易量
$19,778 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
91%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting model runs show a daily temperature range of 26–30°C for September 13, with the minimum shaped by an active northeast monsoon and a distant tropical cyclone enhancing cloud cover and showers.** These conditions have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures higher than typical mid-September climatology and aligning with current observations hovering near 25–26°C in the evening hours. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the day’s lowest reading because real-time station data and short-range guidance have not shown further drops below this threshold despite scattered rain. Key resolution factors include the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters site, with any late-evening cooling or localized showers the primary variables that could still shift the outcome within the narrow remaining window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions