Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining moderate north to northeast winds and partly cloudy skies over Hong Kong, supporting radiative cooling that aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a minimum near 25°C on September 11. Numerical models and recent observations show daytime highs of 29–32°C giving way to overnight lows in the 24–26°C range, consistent with September climatological normals of about 24°C. This evidence underpins the market-implied 94% probability on 25°C as the dominant trader consensus. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected rain could limit cooling and push the minimum above 25°C, while unusually clear and calm conditions might allow a dip to 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日香港最低溫度？
9月11日香港最低溫度？
25°C 96%
24°C 4%
22°C 1.2%
21°C或以下 <1%
最新
$28,852 交易量
最新
$28,852 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
96%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 96%
24°C 4%
22°C 1.2%
21°C或以下 <1%
最新
$28,852 交易量
最新
$28,852 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$562 交易量
1%
22°C
$814 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,890 交易量
1%
24°C
$4,441 交易量
4%
25°C
$5,743 交易量
96%
26°C
$4,953 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,876 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,306 交易量
<1%
29°C
$86 交易量
<1%
30°C
$96 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$86 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining moderate north to northeast winds and partly cloudy skies over Hong Kong, supporting radiative cooling that aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a minimum near 25°C on September 11. Numerical models and recent observations show daytime highs of 29–32°C giving way to overnight lows in the 24–26°C range, consistent with September climatological normals of about 24°C. This evidence underpins the market-implied 94% probability on 25°C as the dominant trader consensus. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected rain could limit cooling and push the minimum above 25°C, while unusually clear and calm conditions might allow a dip to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$28,852結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining moderate north to northeast winds and partly cloudy skies over Hong Kong, supporting radiative cooling that aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a minimum near 25°C on September 11. Numerical models and recent observations show daytime highs of 29–32°C giving way to overnight lows in the 24–26°C range, consistent with September climatological normals of about 24°C. This evidence underpins the market-implied 94% probability on 25°C as the dominant trader consensus. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected rain could limit cooling and push the minimum above 25°C, while unusually clear and calm conditions might allow a dip to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,852結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNortheast monsoon flow is sustaining moderate north to northeast winds and partly cloudy skies over Hong Kong, supporting radiative cooling that aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a minimum near 25°C on September 11. Numerical models and recent observations show daytime highs of 29–32°C giving way to overnight lows in the 24–26°C range, consistent with September climatological normals of about 24°C. This evidence underpins the market-implied 94% probability on 25°C as the dominant trader consensus. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected rain could limit cooling and push the minimum above 25°C, while unusually clear and calm conditions might allow a dip to 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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