Current forecasts from regional models point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, supporting radiative cooling that should produce a minimum near 21°C in Busan. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or residual cloud cover can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average 19–21°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this week keeps the distribution narrow. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日釜山最低溫度?
26°C或以上 45%
16°C或以下 42%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
16°C或以下
42%
17°C
18%
18°C
40%
19°C
26%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
17%
26°C或以上
45%
26°C或以上 45%
16°C或以下 42%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
16°C或以下
42%
17°C
18%
18°C
40%
19°C
26%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
17%
26°C或以上
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional models point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 14, supporting radiative cooling that should produce a minimum near 21°C in Busan. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or residual cloud cover can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average 19–21°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this week keeps the distribution narrow. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions