Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable overnight low near 21–22°C in Busan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 69% implied probability, while 20°C at 41% reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling. Recent observations show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 28°C with dew points around 20°C, consistent with typical early-autumn marine influence but above the long-term September average low. No incoming fronts or model shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours, keeping lower probabilities on 19°C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日釜山的最低溫度?
21°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,154 交易量
$1,154 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,154 交易量
$1,154 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable overnight low near 21–22°C in Busan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 69% implied probability, while 20°C at 41% reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling. Recent observations show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 28°C with dew points around 20°C, consistent with typical early-autumn marine influence but above the long-term September average low. No incoming fronts or model shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours, keeping lower probabilities on 19°C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions