**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived sites, and regional outlooks indicate a low of 15–18°C for Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure.** This places the expected minimum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C, with daytime highs around 26–29°C. No significant cold advection or frontal systems are projected in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 16–17°C. The closely matched market probabilities for 9°C or below and 19°C or higher (both 44.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling rates and potential microclimate or station-specific measurement differences, while the 15–17°C outcomes (each ~20–21.5%) align with the current model consensus. Updated guidance through the evening of September 13 will be the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日北京最低溫度？
9月14日北京最低溫度？
19°C或以上 93%
9°C或以下 92%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
92%
10°C
9%
11°C
17%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
7%
19°C或以上
93%
19°C或以上 93%
9°C或以下 92%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
10°C
$0 交易量
9%
11°C
$0 交易量
17%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$42 交易量
7%
19°C或以上
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived sites, and regional outlooks indicate a low of 15–18°C for Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure.**
This places the expected minimum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C, with daytime highs around 26–29°C. No significant cold advection or frontal systems are projected in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 16–17°C. The closely matched market probabilities for 9°C or below and 19°C or higher (both 44.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling rates and potential microclimate or station-specific measurement differences, while the 15–17°C outcomes (each ~20–21.5%) align with the current model consensus. Updated guidance through the evening of September 13 will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived sites, and regional outlooks indicate a low of 15–18°C for Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure.**
This places the expected minimum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C, with daytime highs around 26–29°C. No significant cold advection or frontal systems are projected in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 16–17°C. The closely matched market probabilities for 9°C or below and 19°C or higher (both 44.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling rates and potential microclimate or station-specific measurement differences, while the 15–17°C outcomes (each ~20–21.5%) align with the current model consensus. Updated guidance through the evening of September 13 will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived sites, and regional outlooks indicate a low of 15–18°C for Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure.** This places the expected minimum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C, with daytime highs around 26–29°C. No significant cold advection or frontal systems are projected in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 16–17°C. The closely matched market probabilities for 9°C or below and 19°C or higher (both 44.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling rates and potential microclimate or station-specific measurement differences, while the 15–17°C outcomes (each ~20–21.5%) align with the current model consensus. Updated guidance through the evening of September 13 will be the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions