Latest forecast models from global ensembles show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 12–14 °C threshold, producing nearly even market-implied odds between “11 °C or below” and “14 °C.” Radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds favors the lower end, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow. Updated runs from the European and American models, plus local CMA guidance expected overnight, will likely resolve the narrow spread before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日北京最低溫度？
9月13日北京最低溫度？
13°C 97%
11°C或以下 96%
14°C 50%
12°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
96%
12°C
19%
13°C
97%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
13°C 97%
11°C或以下 96%
14°C 50%
12°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$43 交易量
96%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$0 交易量
97%
14°C
$0 交易量
50%
15°C
$5 交易量
50%
16°C
$371 交易量
<1%
17°C
$295 交易量
<1%
18°C
$54 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from global ensembles show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 12–14 °C threshold, producing nearly even market-implied odds between “11 °C or below” and “14 °C.” Radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds favors the lower end, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow. Updated runs from the European and American models, plus local CMA guidance expected overnight, will likely resolve the narrow spread before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$814結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from global ensembles show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 12–14 °C threshold, producing nearly even market-implied odds between “11 °C or below” and “14 °C.” Radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds favors the lower end, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow. Updated runs from the European and American models, plus local CMA guidance expected overnight, will likely resolve the narrow spread before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$814結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest forecast models from global ensembles show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 12–14 °C threshold, producing nearly even market-implied odds between “11 °C or below” and “14 °C.” Radiational cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds favors the lower end, while any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15 °C, so the current cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge and reduced southerly flow. Updated runs from the European and American models, plus local CMA guidance expected overnight, will likely resolve the narrow spread before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions